Lucky investors trade more: Evidence from a large and salient exogenous price shock

  • Author
  • Matheus Carrijo de Brito
  • Co-authors
  • Fernando Daniel Chague , Bruno Cara Giovannetti
  • Abstract
  • This paper examines the impact of luck on retail investors' trading activity. We document an increase in trading activity and a worsening in the performance of lucky investors. We considered lucky investors who sold stock before an unexpected environmental disaster that caused a significant devaluation of this stock. After the event, lucky investors present 11\% of portfolio turnover, 46\% of numbers of trade, and 35\% of the number of days with trade higher than similar investors. Also, the portfolio return risk-unadjusted is 6\% and adjusted is 4\% lower for lucky investors. Placebo tests indicate that our results are due to this specific stock by investors that sold this stock, and no effect is found using past outcomes.

  • Keywords
  • Portfolio Turnover, Trading Activity, Retail Investors, Environment Disaster
  • Modality
  • Comunicação oral
  • Subject Area
  • Apreçamento de Ativos (Asset Pricing)
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  • Apreçamento de Ativos (Asset Pricing)
  • Finanças Corporativas e Bancárias (Corporate Finance and Banking)
  • Econometria Financeira (Financial Econometrics)
  • Engenharia Financeira (Financial Engineering)
  • Macrofinanças (Macrofinance)