The global shift towards green hydrogen as a cornerstone of energy systems decarbonization is underscored by Uruguay's commitment, exemplified through its "Green Hydrogen Roadmap." Envisioning itself as a key exporter, Uruguay aims to harness its vast renewable potential, necessitating substantial infrastructure development by 2040 to meet projected demands.
This study uses a linear programming optimization model to comprehensively evaluate Uruguay's energy landscape evolution, focusing on electricity and hydrogen sector synergies. The optimization process prioritizes profit maximization from export by forecasting hydrogen production under varying selling prices.
Results reveal significant electricity sector expansion driven by electricity demand increases and a profitable hydrogen export, while a thorough assessment of hydrogen sales and costs provides insights into market dynamics. The analysis uncovers developmental trajectories, crucial for delineating decarbonization pathways for both sectors.
Conclusions underscore the importance of considering integration costs and renewable resource availability when assessing hydrogen's economic viability. Balancing intrinsic electricity demand with hydrogen perspectives is vital to avoid overreliance on cost-effective sources. In contrast, pilot projects for hydrogen production could emerge as financially viable options by 2025, emphasizing strategic planning's crucial role in Uruguay's sustainable energy transition.