LIGHT FUELS MARKET IN BRAZIL

  • Author
  • Laura Rodrigues Alves Soares
  • Co-authors
  • André Suriane da Silva , Joana Duarte Ouro Alves
  • Abstract
  • The growing urgency to accelerate the energy transition has been pressuring governments and policymakers to present effective plans for a sustained long-term decrease in greenhouse gas emissions. In Brazil, some general bills aimed at fossil fuel replacement with sustainable alternative fuels have been proposed by congressmen and by the government [1]. All of them consider ethanol to remain an important component of the Brazilian transition. Therefore, a constant revisitation of the policies' effects is needed to assure market competitiveness and further enhance consumer switching to ethanol. In this context, fuel demand elasticities are an important input for policymakers. Although the subject has been explored in literature [2-5], our work uses a new database with much greater granularity, containing fuel consumption per municipality per month in the 459 municipalities for which retail prices are available. We find own-price elasticities to be 1.2 for gasoline and 1.7 for ethanol, higher than values found in previous research, indicating that Brazilian consumers may be more price-sensitive than previously thought. Cross-price elasticities were positive and significant for both fuels and also higher than previous results.

  • Keywords
  • fuel demand elasticities, biofuel, ethanol, Brazil
  • Modality
  • Comunicação oral
  • Subject Area
  • Bioenergy and Biofuels
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  • Oil and Gas Markets and Investments
  • Energy Security and Geopolitics
  • Electricity markets
  • Energy and finance
  • Energy demand
  • Country studies
  • Energy and society
  • Energy Policy and Regulation
  • Climate Change: mitigation and adaptation
  • Disruptive innovation and energy transition
  • Energy and macroeconomics
  • Local governments
  • System integration
  • Energy and transport
  • Regional energy integration
  • LNG Markets in Latam
  • Social Dimensions of Energy Transition
  • Variable Renewable Energies
  • Distributed Energy Resources
  • System Integration, Energy Networks and Resilience
  • Energy Investment and Finance
  • Energy Market Design
  • Technology, Innovation and Policies
  • Low Carbon Hydrogen
  • Bioenergy and Biofuels
  • Energy and Development
  • New Supply Chains
  • Future of Utilities
  • Energy Efficiency
  • Energy Modeling
  • Energy and Macroeconomics
  • Energy Subsidies
  • Transportation and (e-) mobility
  • Nuclear Energy in Latam